Description

This analysis provides a forecast of FTM prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-01-12 0.449901 0.527045 0.611269 0.709767 0.821502 0.944012 1.088186
2025-01-19 0.319518 0.420834 0.542437 0.697845 0.889757 1.117471 1.406446
2025-01-26 0.248674 0.361851 0.508883 0.710852 0.977591 1.313986 1.765871
2025-02-02 0.199399 0.316908 0.480477 0.719406 1.053117 1.495444 2.117366
2025-02-09 0.162770 0.280419 0.454698 0.723473 1.117523 1.662451 2.458556
2025-02-16 0.138871 0.257305 0.442749 0.742655 1.201084 1.858256 2.849660
2025-02-23 0.117483 0.233532 0.425116 0.749085 1.263792 2.026278 3.210415
2025-03-02 0.094557 0.202301 0.390168 0.722584 1.271542 2.111645 3.453931
2025-03-09 0.083367 0.189905 0.384429 0.741830 1.351064 2.308313 3.873092
2025-03-16 0.072807 0.176530 0.374699 0.752354 1.416006 2.485215 4.271054
2025-03-23 0.067434 0.172554 0.381332 0.791675 1.531343 2.748010 4.816453
2025-03-30 0.057883 0.157709 0.365029 0.787086 1.569991 2.888006 5.173264
2025-04-06 0.048823 0.142271 0.345744 0.775464 1.596549 3.012076 5.515992
2025-04-13 0.041476 0.129230 0.329403 0.767500 1.628738 3.147451 5.885164
2025-04-20 0.037012 0.122388 0.325256 0.783198 1.705711 3.364128 6.401918
2025-04-27 0.032731 0.115002 0.318722 0.793004 1.771783 3.564944 6.901265
2025-05-04 0.028711 0.107328 0.310285 0.797587 1.827566 3.749929 7.381670
2025-05-11 0.026091 0.103118 0.309458 0.818485 1.917010 4.000540 7.988818
2025-05-18 0.023096 0.096959 0.302825 0.825488 1.978426 4.202239 8.517662
2025-05-25 0.018984 0.085911 0.281769 0.796696 1.962930 4.258069 8.784923
2025-06-01 0.017361 0.082968 0.281790 0.817613 2.053874 4.521208 9.442975
2025-06-08 0.015577 0.078918 0.278108 0.829047 2.124961 4.749223 10.045372
2025-06-15 0.014957 0.079160 0.286684 0.871752 2.267506 5.124003 10.937742